The Seattle Storm have won six straight games heading into Sunday’s WNBA Commissioners Cup game against the Minnesota Lynx, but they are 0-2 against the Lynx so far in 2024.
These teams are tied atop the Western Conference after the Lynx lost a one-point road game to the Phoenix Mercury on Friday night.
The Storm, who upset the Las Vegas Aces on Friday, are really starting to settle into their new trio of Skylar Diggins-Smith, Jewell Loyd and Nneka Ogwumike, going 5-0 in their last five games. they all played together.
Can they continue to play as road favorites against the Lynx?
Here’s a look at the latest odds and my best bet for this game:
Spread
Money line
Total
Odds via DraftKings sportsbook.
Storm Damage Report
Lynx Injury Report
Seattle Storm
Nneka Ogwumike: For the third time this season, Ogwumike and the Storm will face the Lynx, and she is dominated this game in 2024. The veteran forward had 20 points on 10 of 18 shooting in the season opener before dropping 24 points on 8 of 12 shooting in the next game. During the season, Ogwumike averaged 17.7 points per game over seven contests.
Minnesota Lynx
Napheesa Collier: Collier had two huge games against the Storm earlier this season, including in their second meeting where she had 29 points, nine rebounds, five assists and six steals. A true MVP candidate in 2024, Collier is averaging 21.6 points, 11.1 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game.
These two teams have played very well to open the 2024 season, ranking #3 and #4 in the league in net rating and posting two of the best margin records in the league.
I’m surprised to see the Lynx ranked as a home underdog, as they’ve gone an impressive 4-1 ATS at home and 5-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
That doesn’t take away from Seattle, which is 5-1 ATS on the road and 6-3 ATS as a favorite, but let’s not forget that the Lynx beat that team by Seattle twice to open the season.
Jewell Loyd has shot a little better since his slow start, but Collier and the Lynx are the No. 3 defense and No. 2 offense in the league. The Storm have also defended well, surpassing the Lynx in defensive rating, but they only rank sixth in offense so far in 2024.
I think the odds for this matchup are perfect – it’s really a toss-up – so I’ll take the point with the Lynx at home.
Choice: Lynx +1 (-115)
Ratings are updated periodically and are subject to change.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and needs help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Find Peter Dewey’s bet registration here You can also follow my daily games on BetStamp here.
