- Elon Musk said in an interview with Joe Rogan that there were “only 20% of annihilation”.
- He said he was still thinking that AI will be smarter than humans and would represent an existential risk.
- “I always thought that AI was going to be much smarter than humans and an existential risk. And that is true,” he said.
Elon Musk Having a half -glass mentality with regard to AI – and this means that there is “only 20% of youth annoying”, according to the billionaire.
“The probability of a good result is 80%”, Musk said In an episode of Podcast “Joe Rogan Experience” released on Friday.
This is not the first time that Musk has launched this probability of human annihilation, although it has already included a range of 10% to 20%. Musk also declared in the interview that he sees AI going beyond human intelligence in the next year or two. He said he expects AI to reach a level that is “smarter than all combined humans” in 2029 or 2030.
This corresponds to the previous predictions of Musk, although it seems to have extended the previous end of this chronology since then. Musk said last year during a Live interview X With the CEO of Norges Bank, Nicolai Tangen, he thought that AI would “probably” exceed “human intelligence at the end of 2025.
However, its fundamental beliefs on the AI trajectory have not changed.
“I always thought that AI was going to be much smarter than humans and an existential risk,” Musk said in the interview. “And it turns out to be true.”
Others in the field also shared concerns about AI leading to human annihilation.
In -depth expert Geoffrey Hinton said it thought there was a 10% chance that AI will lead to human extinction over the next 30 years. Meanwhile, others, such as the IA security researcher and the director of Romanesque cybersecurity Yampolskiy, said that the “probability of destiny” is 99.999999%.
Despite Musk’s concerns concerning AI destroying humanity, he declared in the interview that he was initially involved to create an “open source for non -profit” which was “the opposite of Google”. Musk was one of 11 co -founders of Openai, which he has since left.
Musk filed two proceedings against Openai last year, the first he abandoned. In the second, Musk’s lawyers maintain that Optai “betrayed” her mission by going to a for -profit model and by entering a partnership with Microsoft.
While Musk declared in Rogan’s interview that he was “not happy” of the result with OpenAI, it led him to create the Grok, which is an “IA of search for truth to the maximum, even if this truth is as politically incorrect”. The Musk XAI formed the chatbot with prompts as to know if it is normal to please Caitlyn Jenner from preventing nuclear apocalypse or if it is possible to be racist against whites.
Musk said he considered the most likely result of the advancement of AI as “brilliant”.
“I think it’s going to be great or super bad,” said Musk, adding that he doesn’t see it was “something in the middle”.