The Atlanta Falcons (2-2) will host the Houston Texans (2-2) on Sunday in NFL Week 5 cross-conference action. The Texans enter this game on a two-game winning streak after defeating the Pittsburgh Steelers 30-6 in Week 4. The Falcons, on the other hand, are looking to snap a two-game losing streak after losing 23-23 to the Jacksonville Jaguars. -7 last week. Atlanta is 1-3 this season and Houston is 2-2.
Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. In the latest Falcons vs. Texans odds, Atlanta is favored by 2.5 points, with the overall point over/under set at 42 points. Before making any Texans vs. Falcons picks, you’ll want to check out the computer-simulated NFL predictions and betting recommendations from ‘s models.
The model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, and since its inception, a $100 NFL pick has fetched well over $7,000. The model enters Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season riding an incredible 168-118 streak in top NFL draft picks dating back to the 2017 season. It’s also 22-10 on top NFL draft picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model has ranked in the top 10 of NFLPickWatch straight NFL picks for the past six years and has beaten more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who follows it will progress.
Now, the model has its sights set on the Falcons-Texans game and just locked in on draft picks and NFL Week 5 predictions. You can now head to to view the selection of models. Here are a few Texans vs. Falcons NFL odds and betting lines:
- Falcons vs. Texans differential: Falcons -2.5
- Falcons vs. Texans Over/Under: 42 points
- Falcons vs. Texans money line: Texans +117, Falcons -138
- Falcons vs. Texans draft: Watch the draft
- Falcons vs. Texans Live Streaming: fubo (Free Trial)
Why the Falcons can cover
The Falcons are 2-0 at home this season and have one of the best rushing offenses in the league. Rookie Bijan Robinson has played at a high level in his first four pro games and has the looks of a future Pro Bowler. In this game, Robinson rushed 59 times for 318 yards and received 19 passes for 134 yards and 1 touchdown.
Sophomore quarterback Desmond Reed has shown flashes of high-level performance but has had some consistency issues this season. His two best games came at home in 2023, where he completed 68% of his passes for 352 yards, two touchdowns and an interception. He also rushed for 38 yards and a touchdown in those two games. Find out which team to choose here.
Why the Texans can be covered
First-year head coach DeMeco Ryans has the Texans moving in the right direction. After two blowout losses to open the season, Houston returned the favor with back-to-back blowout wins of its own. The Texans defeated the Jaguars 37-17 in Week 3 and then defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers 30-6 in Week 4.
A big reason for the Texans’ comeback is the performance of rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud. Stroud, the No. 1 pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, completed 62.3% of his passes for 1,212 yards, six touchdowns and no interceptions. He also rushed 14 times for 51 yards. Under Stroud, the Texans’ total offense ranks in the top ten in the NFL. Find out which team to choose here.
How to pick Falcons vs. Texans picks
The model has simulated the Texans vs. Falcons 10,000 times, and the results are in. It tends to be “biased” in total points scored, and also says one side’s points are on target almost 60% of the time. You can only see the model’s picks for the Falcons-Texans game on .
So who will win Sunday’s game between the Texans and Falcons, and which team is shooting close to 60%? Visit now to see which Falcons vs. Texans side you should be focusing on in Sunday’s game, all coming from a rolling 168-118 result in their top NFL picks, and find out.